Geely Advances: Is Hydrogen the Future?
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The automotive industry has been witnessing some groundbreaking developments lately, particularly from Geely, one of China's prominent automakersThe company has been making significant strides into the realm of methanol hydrogen vehicles, demonstrating a commitment to advancing hydrogen technology as a sustainable energy solutionThis movement is marked by Geely's expansion from the northeastern regions of China to the northwest, effectively establishing a vast operational footprint spanning thousands of kilometersRecently, the first batch of dedicated methanol hydrogen new energy vehicles was produced in Daqing, signifying the company's growing presence in these colder climates, following prior expansions in southwestern, northwestern, and northern regions.
During an interview, Liu Hanru, chief scientist at Geely’s Remote New Energy Commercial Vehicle Group, articulated that traditional electric vehicles tend to face significant challenges in colder climates, particularly regarding their operating range and performance degradation in low temperaturesThis is where methanol hydrogen vehicles become particularly relevant, as they offer a more viable alternative for these environmentsLiu emphasized that starting from Daqing not only allows for better servicing of the northeastern market but also opens doors to international opportunities, especially in Russia's Far East.
However, industry insiders have expressed a more cautious perspective, especially considering that the main focus of the current methanol hydrogen technology appears to be commercial vehiclesWhile passenger methanol hydrogen vehicles are technically feasible, there are considerable challenges that lie ahead for their widespread adoption, including technology integration, market readiness, and consumer acceptance.
The Promising Future of Green Methanol Fuel
In recent developments, the first hydrogen refueling station officially opened in Shenyang, and BMW Brilliance was quick to make it the first customer
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The BMW Group has plans to launch its first mass-produced hydrogen fuel cell vehicle (FCEV) by 2028, marking a significant pivot towards greener alternatives in their fleetHowever, pure hydrogen vehicles are still grappling with a variety of hurdles, including high fuel costs and safety concernsThe emergence of methanol hydrogen vehicles brings a glimmer of hope to the ongoing quest for sustainable transportation solutions.
Professor Shuai Shijin from Tsinghua University, director of the Tsinghua-Shell Clean Transportation Energy Center, shared insights on the future trajectory where low-carbon, zero-carbon, and electrification trends are predicted to remain irreversibleHe highlighted methanol as an attractive liquid fuel, speculating that the future landscape of the new energy vehicle market might see a balanced division where pure electric and plug-in hybrids both account for 50% of the market share, showcasing a uniquely Chinese development path.
Liu stated that methanol hydrogen electric vehicles represent an upgrade in charging and energy supply methods, allowing for a more practical and cost-effective alternative by utilizing methanol in place of conventional hydrogen fuel cell systemsMethanol, being an oxygen-containing fuel, also boasts enhanced adaptability compared to traditional fuels like diesel and natural gas, particularly in high-altitude regionsFor instance, the methanol hydrogen powertrain used in mining trucks in Xinjiang has accumulated over 2.1 million operational hours and nearly 30 million kilometers, demonstrating tangible economic and environmental benefits for mining corporations.
Huang Hansheng, head of the light truck research bureau at Xuzhou Xugong Mining Machinery Co., noted that based on their operations in Xinjiang, methanol vehicles exhibit characteristics of environmental cleanliness and economic fuel efficiency, achieving a 20% increase in transport capacity and operational efficiency while also improving fuel consumption efficiency by the same percentage
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The vehicles also prove to be reliable across a spectrum of operational conditions—ranging from low to high temperatures and varying altitudes—by capitalizing on renewable energy for cyclic utilization.
Proponents suggest that methanol may serve as the optimal hydrogen carrier, with liquid hydrogen containing approximately 70 kilograms of hydrogen per cubic meter, whereas methanol yields 148.3 kilograms of hydrogen per cubic meterUtilizing “wasted wind and solar energy” to generate green hydrogen and employing carbon dioxide with this green hydrogen can produce green methanol effectivelyThe process is notably efficient—one ton of low-grade coal can produce 0.66 tons of methanol, generating 1.67 tons of carbon dioxide that, when converted through hydrogenation, results in a total methanol output of 1.87 tonsThis quantity is sufficient to fuel a 49-ton methanol truck for approximately 2400 kilometers.
On the bus front, methanol hydrogen electric city buses have been deployed within public transit systems in cities like Tianjin and DaqingThe Tianjin Binhai Public Transport Company reported that these buses save 37.9 yuan in costs per hundred kilometers compared to traditional pure electric buses, achieving energy savings of about one-third.
China stands tall as the world’s largest producer and consumer of methanol, currently producing 60% of global capacityThis positions China strategically as its methanol energy production remains largely self-sufficientMoreover, advancements in modern coal chemical technology, coupled with renewable energy for green hydrogen and oxygen production, demonstrate China's leadership in synthesizing green methanol that aligns with “carbon neutrality” goals.
According to Shi Jianhua, deputy secretary-general of the China Electric Vehicles 100 Forum, methanol hydrogen electric technology effectively addresses the shortcomings of other new energy technology routes, positioning it as a crucial pathway for the greening of commercial vehicles
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As conversations continue around the potential of this technology, many are beginning to wonder—are we witnessing the birth of a future industry?
Is Methanol Hydrogen the Wave of the Future?
When discussing the integration of methanol hydrogen technology into passenger vehicles, Guo Haitao, director of the Institute of Energy Economics and Finance at China University of Petroleum (Beijing), voiced skepticism regarding the extensive investment and resources already poured into the electric vehicle marketThe critical question remains whether there is sufficient capability and financial backing to develop a new market segment, a challenge he deemed daunting.
Nevertheless, the support from government ministries for research and application of methanol fuel and vehicles has been notable, marked by numerous standards and supportive policiesLeading commercial vehicle manufacturers such as China National Heavy Duty Truck Corporation, Shaanxi Heavy Duty Auto Group, FAW Jiefang, Weichai, and Yuchai are delving into methanol energy, exemplifying a curious convergence of efforts within the field as methanol vehicles seem to be at a turning point.
Sun Maojian, director and senior partner of Beijing Energy New Energy, emphasized that while Geely is well-established in this domain, few other manufacturers are pursuing aggressive efforts toward methanol hydrogen technologyHe pointed out deficiencies in energy conversion efficiency and elevated costs as significant barriersAdditionally, the groundwork for infrastructure and a sufficient number of refueling stations remains underdeveloped.
Representatives from Li Auto echoed these concerns, stating that the methanol hydrogen vehicle market remains relatively nascent, with a need for more time to nurture its developmentAside from a commitment over the next three to five years, there are worries that the methanol hydrogen technology might struggle to match the advantages and cost-effectiveness currently seen in lithium battery technology, which still holds the upper hand in terms of sales and performance.
“If I were to consider purchasing a methanol hydrogen vehicle, can you suggest a brand? It wouldn’t need to be on par with BYD or the likes of NIO, but something within a comparable range
What would its price point be? How much would it cost to operate? How convenient and safe is hydrogen refueling? It’s only when sales figures rise that consumers start to feel confident,” a market expert shared, highlighting the significant hurdles that still loom ahead for methanol hydrogen vehicles’ adoption and growth.
On another note, officials from Aodong New Energy indicated a lack of current strategy within the methanol hydrogen market for their companyThey acknowledged the inherent safety risks associated with the storage and transport of methanol, especially for passenger vehiclesDue to these challenges, opportunities in the commercial vehicle sector are more promising since, generally, methanol is viewed as a clean energy alternative, albeit still possessing some safety concerns stemming from its physical properties.
As it stands, over 300 methanol refueling stations have been established nationwide, with plans to surpass 400 by the end of 2024. Regarding the safety of hydrogen refueling stations, Chen Bo, director of the Standard Quota Research Institute at the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, mentioned that numerous safety measures have been defined within the national standards to ensure the construction and operational safety of these stations.
Shuai Shijin pointed out that the current technological trajectory for passenger vehicles predominantly favors pure electric and plug-in hybrid models, suggesting very limited potential for purely green methanol passenger vehicles due to their significantly higher operating costsHowever, he did note the prospect for dedicated plug-in hybrid engines utilizing green methanol as a fuel source.
In a broader look at the future, Liu Ke, an elected foreign member of the Australian Academy of Engineering and dean of the Innovation and Entrepreneurship College at Southern University of Science and Technology, emphasized the merits of green methanol-diesel hybrids
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